Three new Wide releases plus the 2026 re-issues of Top Gun and Top Gun: Maverick… and none are expected to open above $11M. This is prime opportunity for the holdovers to pad their numbers, but the BOT forecast still has the fourth weekend of Michael outperforming the third weekend of Prada 2 for the top spot. A dark horse would be the summer’s next horror flick, Obsession. A modern take on the classic story, The Monkey’s Paw, the early reviews are through the roof at 90%+ across the board. Perhaps word-of-mouth can make it a threat.
You’ll also see in the Rotten Tomatoes (RT) Freshness Ratings the scores for the OG Top Gun, which is getting a 40th Anniversary Re-Issue. Boy, the critics really disliked it. You can go here to see what the Top Critics said back then. Whoopsies!
Box Office Theory forecast for this weekend:
| # | 3-Day Wknd (M) | % Change | Total (M) | Theater Count | |
| 1 | |||||
| 2 | The Devil Wears Prada 2 | 24.9 | -40% | 183.6 | 3,830 |
| 3 | Mortal Kombat II | 16.5 | -57% | 65.5 | 3,534 |
| 4 | Obsession | 11.0 | – | 11.0 | 2,615 |
| 5 | The Sheep Detectives | 8.4 | -44% | 28.4 | 3,554 |
| 6 | In the Grey | 5.9 | – | 5.9 | 2,018 |
| 7 | |||||
| 8 | |||||
| 9 | Is God Is | 2.1 | – | 2.1 | 1,510 |
| 10 | Top Gun & Top Gun: Maverick (2026 Re-Issues) | 1.7 | – | 3.1 | 2,295 |
Rotten Tomatoes freshness ratings:
| All Critics | Top Critics | Verified Audience | |
| Obsession | 94% | 91% | 94% |
| In the Grey | 44% | 55% | 83% |
| Is God Is | 97% | 100% | 89% |
| Top Gun (1986) | 56% | 59% | 83% |
CinemaScore ratings:
| Score | |
| Obsession | A- |
| In the Grey | B |
| Is God Is | B+ |
| Top Gun (1986) | n/a |
TBD ratings updates will be posted as they are published.