There’s only room for one new Wide release this extended holiday weekend, and if you’re gonna go solo you go BIG with Jurassic World Rebirth. Opening on Wednesday, Rebirth (unanimously selected) is tracking to earn $50M+ before a $77M weekend. That’ll work for a movie that isn’t exactly wowing either the Critics (RT 54%) or Audience (RT 75%).
Have a safe July 4th weekend and be careful with those fingers!
Box Office Theory’s forecast for the holiday weekend:
| 3-Day Wknd (M) | % Change | Total (M) | Theater Count | ||
| 1 | Jurassic World: Rebirth | 77.6 | – | 128.7 | 4,063 |
| 2 | F1: The Movie | 24.0 | -58% | 103.2 | 3,661 |
| 3 | How To Train Your Dragon (2025) | 12.4 | -37% | 224.1 | 3,714 |
| 4 | Elio | 6.6 | -37% | 54.5 | 3,750 |
| 5 | 28 Years Later | 5.1 | -48% | 60.0 | 3,168 |
| 6 | Lilo & Stitch (2025) | 5.0 | -27% | 408.8 | 2,900 |
| 7 | M3GAN 2.0 | 3.8 | -63% | 17.5 | 3,133 |
| 8 | Mission: Impossible – The Final Reckoning | 3.0 | -28% | 191.3 | 1,653 |
| 9 | Materialists | 1.6 | -46% | 33.4 | 1,931 |
| 10 | Ballerina | 1.1 | -50% | 57.6 | 975 |
Rotten Tomatoes freshness ratings:
| All Critics | Top Critics | Verified Audience | |
| Jurassic World: Rebirth | 54% | 52% | 75% |
CinemaScore ratings:
| Score | |
| Jurassic World: Rebirth | B |
TBD ratings updates will be posted as they are published.