We have entered the final month of the SMP, and if these reviews hold we are looking at a quality weekend for all three new Wide releases. But quality clearly doesn’t equate to box office. We haven’t seen a straight comedy all summer long, so with all the praise that the new Naked Gun (1 player) has been getting it would be a real disappointment to only see a $15M opening. The top newcomer is expected to be The Bad Guys 2 (6 players) at $21M. Looks like another weekend where Marvel will double up the competition.
Box Office Theory’s forecast for the weekend:
| 3-Day Wknd (M) | % Change | Total (M) | Theater Count | ||
| 1 | The Fantastic Four: First Steps | 46.2 | -61% | 206.3 | 4,125 |
| 2 | The Bad Guys 2 | 21.0 | – | 21.0 | 3,852 |
| 3 | Superman (2025) | 17.4 | -30% | 320.4 | 3,537 |
| 4 | The Naked Gun (2025) | 15.5 | – | 15.5 | 3,344 |
| 5 | Jurassic World: Rebirth | 9.0 | -32% | 318.1 | 3,240 |
| 6 | F1: The Movie | 4.5 | -29% | 173.7 | 2,024 |
| 7 | Together | 3.9 | – | 6.0 | 2,302 |
| 8 | I Know What You Did Last Summer (2025) | 3.0 | -42% | 29.8 | 2,303 |
| 9 | Smurfs | 2.6 | -52% | 29.3 | 2,295 |
| 10 | How To Train Your Dragon (2025) | 1.8 | -38% | 260.9 | 1,459 |
Rotten Tomatoes freshness ratings:
| All Critics | Top Critics | Verified Audience | |
| The Bad Guys 2 | 87% | n/a | 95% |
| The Naked Gun (2025) | 91% | 88% | 87% |
| Together | 91% | 88% | 80% |
CinemaScore ratings:
| Score | |
| The Bad Guys 2 | A |
| The Naked Gun (2025) | A- |
| Together | C+ |
TBD ratings updates will be posted as they are published.