At the beginning of the summer I would have fully bet on Fly Me to the Moon (picked by 1 player) as the top earner for its opening weekend with its star power and quirky-funny-romcom vibe. But not only is it going to lose out to multiple juggernaut holdovers, it looks like it’s also going to finish behind NEON’s surprise horror sensation, Longlegs (picked by 1 player). As reviewed in RT: “Saturated in disquieting mood while leveraging a nightmarishly gonzo performance by Nicolas Cage, Longlegs is a satanic horror that effectively instills panic.” Yeahhhh I’ll need someone else to see this first.
The Critics and Audience certainly don’t see eye-to-eye on each of these. While Longlegs got an 87%/87% from Critics, it only got a 68%/C+ from the Audience. On the flip side, Moon got a 88%/A- from the Audience against 68%/44% from Critics.
Box Office Theory forecast for this weekend:
| # | 3-Day Wknd (M) | Total (M) | % Change | Theater Count | |
| 1 | Despicable Me 4 | 40.8 | 200.2 | -46% | 4,449 |
| 2 | Inside Out 2 | 20.0 | 570.5 | -34% | 3,815 |
| 3 | Longlegs | 16.5 | 16.5 | – | 2,500 |
| 4 | A Quiet Place: Day One | 12.8 | 117.2 | -38% | 3,378 |
| 5 | Fly Me to the Moon | 11.1 | 11.1 | – | 3,356 |
| 6 | Bad Boys: Ride or Die | 4.5 | 185.1 | -32% | 2,200 |
| 7 | Horizon: An American Saga – Chapter 1 | 3.1 | 27.7 | -42% | 2,587 |
| 8 | MaXXXine | 2.1 | 10.9 | -69% | ~2,450 |
| 9 | Sound of Hope: The Story of Possum Trot | 2.1 | 10.4 | -32% | 2,137 |
Rotten Tomatoes freshness ratings:
| All Critics Score | Top Critics Score | Audience Score | |
| Longlegs | 87% | 87% | 68% |
| Fly Me to the Moon | 68% | 44% | 88% |
CinemaScore ratings:
| Score | |
| Longlegs | C+ |
| Fly Me to the Moon | A- |
TBD ratings updates will be posted as they are published.